Match Prediction Between RCB vs MI – Win Probability & Playing XI Analysis

On Monday, April 7, at 7:30 PM IST, the Mumbai Indians (MI) and Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB) will square off in an exciting contest as the Indian Premier League 2025 enters its 20th game at Mumbai's legendary Wankhede Stadium. This face-off is more than just a game; it is a conflict between tradition and momentum, heritage and resurgence. MI vs RCB who will win?

The five-time IPL champion Mumbai Indians' 2025 season has gotten off to a rough start. They are trying to regain the rhythm that used to make them practically unbeatable at home after only one victory in four games. In contrast, RCB had a great start with consecutive victories until facing the Gujarat Titans in their most recent game, which served as a serious reality check. This information could help you make a great guess on the match prediction between RCB vs MI.

Match Overview

With just one win in four games, the Mumbai Indians have had a disappointing start to the 2025 Indian Premier League. That triumph occurred at their stronghold, the Wankhede Stadium. As a result of their losses, they have shown weaknesses in their top order and bowling depth, particularly when traveling. In their most recent match, MI lost by 12 runs against LSG despite strong efforts from Hardik Pandya and Suryakumar Yadav as they chased a challenging 204-run mark.

Speaking of Suryakumar, he has been MI's most impressive player this season. He has been the glue and the accelerator in Mumbai's otherwise struggling batting lineup, scoring 171 runs from 4 games at a scorching strike rate of 161.32. Although there have been some brilliant moments from the bowling, which is led by Trent Boult and Deepak Chahar, their inconsistency continues to be their weakness. Keep the overview in mind while making the match prediction between RCB vs MI.

MI vs RCB Match Details

Match: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru, Match 20, IPL 2025

Venue: Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai

Date & Time: Monday, April 7, 2025, 7:30 PM (IST)

Live Telecast: Star Sports Network

Live Streaming: JioCinema and Hotstar

Wankhede Stadium Pitch Report

For batters, the Wankhede pitch is paradise. It provides spinners with little turn, true bounce, and lightning-fast outfields. It is a high-scoring stadium, with first-inning scores typically ranging from 190 to 200. It is a boundary-fest once batters get set, but historically, seamers who swing the ball early—especially under lights—have received a little assistance.

At this ground, chasing has been successful. Teams batting second have won 65 of the 119 Twenty20 matches played at Wankhede. After winning the toss, captains nearly always decide to bowl first because dew plays a major role in the second innings. The pitch report could be quite essential when it comes to making the match prediction between RCB vs MI.

Toss Prediction: Bowl first.

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Head-to-Head Record

Particularly at the Wankhede, the Mumbai Indians hold a historical advantage against the Royal Challengers Bengaluru. In the last 11 meetings between these two teams at this location, MI has won eight of them. However, recent results and their changing squad balance will give RCB optimism.

Overall Head-to-Head:

Total Matches: 33

MI Wins: 19

RCB Wins: 14

At Wankhede: MI 9 – 3 RCB

MI vs RCB Predicted Playing XI

Mumbai Indians (MI)

MI will be keen to take advantage of home conditions as Hardik Pandya is showing indications of all-round form and Rohit Sharma is back after a hiatus. They need to push their bottom middle-order, and Tilak Varma can be the X-factor on this surface.

Probable XI:

1. Will Jacks,

2. Ryan Rickelton (wk)

3. Rohit Sharma

4. Suryakumar Yadav

5. Hardik Pandya (c)

6. Tilak Varma

7. Naman Dhir

8. Mitchell Santner

9. Deepak Chahar

10. Jasprit Bumrah

11. Trent Boult

Impact Player: Vignesh Puthur

Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB)

RCB appears poised and prepared. Their middle order is strong, their top order is dominating, and the bowling is tight. Their main weapon will be pace, but Suyash Sharma should be included if spin is needed.

Probable XI:

1. Philip Salt

2. Virat Kohli

3. Devdutt Padikkal

4. Rajat Patidar (c)

5. Liam Livingstone

6. Jitesh Sharma (wk)

7. Tim David

8. Krunal Pandya

9. Bhuvneshwar Kumar

10. Josh Hazlewood

11. Yash Dayal

Impact Player: Suyash Sharma

MI vs RCB: Probable Best Performers

Probable Best Batter – Virat Kohli

There is no denying Kohli's fondness for Wankhede. Expect the former RCB captain to be at his fluid best because he has a solid record against MI and has five fifties in 18 innings here. He can affect the game because of his strike rotation and track knowledge.

Probable Best Bowler – Josh Hazlewood

In the IPL 2025, the Australian pacer has been very successful thus far. Even the finest batters can be troubled by Hazlewood's ability to strike the hard lengths on a genuine surface like Wankhede, as seen by his six wickets in three games and economy of just 7.26.

Match Prediction: Who Will Win Today’s IPL Match Between MI and RCB?

MI has the home advantage on paper. They have a long history at the Wankhede and are the ones who know this pitch the best. Form, however, is important, and RCB seem more stable, orderly, and reliable in both divisions. If RCB's top order starts to perform well, Mumbai's over-reliance on Suryakumar Yadav and Hardik Pandya will not be sufficient.

With the unforeseen upsets and exceptional individual skill that have characterized IPL 2025, anything is possible. However, RCB has the advantage based on their recent performance, squad balance, and desire to recover from a bad home performance.

Prediction: Royal Challengers Bengaluru to win

Match Scenarios

Scenario 1 – Mumbai Indians win the toss and bowl

RCB Powerplay Score: 55-65

RCB Total: 185-200

Result: RCB defend the score with a disciplined bowling performance

Scenario 2 – Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the toss and bowl

MI Powerplay Score: 60-70

MI Total: 190-200

Result: RCB chase it down in the final over, with Kohli anchoring the innings

Though trends and current form frequently act as helpful guidelines, the IPL's magic is in its unpredictable nature. Even though the Mumbai Indians have always excelled at Wankhede, the chances are somewhat in RCB's favor because of their recent problems with form, cohesiveness, and handling pressure under new leadership.

Strong challengers in this matchup are RCB because of Virat Kohli's comfort level here, their well-balanced lineup, and their desire to win after losing at home.

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