The race to the final of IPL 2025 has reached its next to the last stage, and it’s time for a fiery rematch. Punjab Kings (PBKS) will take on Mumbai Indians (MI) in Qualifier 2 at the Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad on Sunday, June 1. With a spot in the final against Royal Challengers Bengaluru up for grabs, both teams are expected to bring out their A-game in what promises to be a high-stakes thriller.
PBKS and MI have crossed paths just recently—on May 26 in the league stage—in a virtual knockout for a top-two finish. PBKS emerged victorious in that clash, chasing down 185 with three wickets in hand. Now, the stakes are even higher, and the pressure is intense.
With the world's largest cricket stadium set to host the crucial knockout, let’s break down this mouthwatering encounter and see which team holds the edge heading into this do-or-die clash.
Punjab Kings dominated the league stage with nine wins out of 14 matches and topped the IPL 2025 points table. However, their crushing defeat in Qualifier 1 against RCB, where they were bundled out for just 101, has raised serious concerns about their ability to handle high-pressure knockout matches.
Meanwhile, Mumbai Indians kept their campaign alive with a clinical performance in the Eliminator against Gujarat Titans. A commanding 81 from Rohit Sharma powered MI to 228/5, and their bowlers held firm to secure a 20-run win. Now they’re eyeing redemption against the team that denied them a top-two finish.
With MI’s experience in knockout games and PBKS’s hunger for their maiden IPL title, this Qualifier 2 promises fireworks.
Match Details:
Match: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians, Qualifier 2, IPL 2025
Venue: Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad
Date & Time: Sunday, June 1, 2025, 7:30 PM IST
Live Broadcast: JioStar Network Channels
Streaming: JioHotstar (App & Website)
The Narendra Modi Stadium has become a batting paradise in IPL 2025. Flat tracks, short boundaries, and lightning-fast outfields have made 200+ totals a common occurrence. The venue has also supported chasing teams well, as the pitch tends to remain consistent throughout the 40 overs.
Average First Innings Score in IPL 2025: 204
Win Record While Chasing: Teams chasing have won 4 out of 6 matches.
Dew Factor: Moderate – helps the chasing team in the second innings
Strategy: Win the toss and bowl first
With two strong batting units in PBKS and MI, expect another run-fest on Sunday night.
The historical head-to-head between these two sides has been extremely close.
Total Matches Played: 33
Punjab Kings Wins: 16
Mumbai Indians Wins: 17
No Result: 1
First Match: April 25, 2008
Last Match: May 26, 2025 – PBKS won by 3 wickets
Given how closely matched these two teams are, Qualifier 2 could go right down to the wire.
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Punjab Kings (PBKS):
1. Priyansh Arya
2. Prabhsimran Singh
3. Josh Inglis (WK)
4. Shreyas Iyer (C)
5. Nehal Wadhera
6. Shashank Singh
7. Marcus Stoinis
8. Azmatullah Omarzai
9. Harpreet Brar
10. Kyle Jamieson
11. Arshdeep Singh
Impact Player: Vijaykumar Vyshak
Mumbai Indians (MI):
1. Jonny Bairstow (WK)
2. Rohit Sharma
3. Suryakumar Yadav
4. Tilak Varma
5. Hardik Pandya (C)
6. Naman Dhir
7. Mitchell Santner
8. Raj Bawa
9. Trent Boult
10. Jasprit Bumrah
11. Richard Gleeson
Impact Player: Ashwani Kumar
Best Batter Pick: Suryakumar Yadav (MI)
Suryakumar Yadav has been on another level this season. With 673 runs from 15 innings, an average of 67.30, and a strike rate of 167.84, SKY has been the backbone of MI’s batting lineup. He’s scored 25+ runs in each of his last 15 innings—remarkable consistency in a format known for its volatility.
IPL 2025 Stats:
Runs: 673 Average: 67.30 Strike Rate: 167.84 Orange Cap Rank: 2nd
If PBKS wants to restrict MI, they must find a way to get SKY out early.
Best Bowler Pick: Jasprit Bumrah (MI)
Jasprit Bumrah has once again proved why he’s considered one of the world’s best T20 bowlers. After missing the first few matches due to injury, Bumrah has taken 18 wickets in 11 games at an average of 15.33. His performance in the Eliminator, where he bowled a match-changing yorker to dismiss Washington Sundar, was vintage Bumrah.
IPL 2025 Stats:
Wickets: 18 Average: 15.33 Economy: 7.18
Key Strength: Death overs & breakthroughs under pressure
PBKS batters will have to watch out for his trademark toe-crushing yorkers.
This match is set up beautifully. PBKS have been the team to beat this season, but their humiliating loss in Qualifier 1 raises doubts about their temperament in big games. Meanwhile, MI are peaking at the right time with veterans like Rohit, SKY, and Bumrah stepping up.
Let’s assess both possible match scenarios:
Scenario 1: PBKS Bat First
Predicted PBKS Total: 185–195
Match Prediction: Mumbai Indians to win
PBKS haven’t looked convincing when batting first under pressure. MI’s bowling unit, particularly Bumrah and Boult, can exploit early nerves. If PBKS don’t get to 200+, MI’s batting depth gives them the edge in the chase.
Scenario 2: MI Bat First
Predicted MI Total: 200+
Match Prediction: Mumbai Indians to win
With Rohit and SKY in sublime form, and a batting-friendly Ahmedabad pitch, MI can easily post a big total. PBKS’s middle order has faltered under scoreboard pressure in knockout games, as seen in Qualifier 1. Chasing 200+ against Bumrah and Boult won’t be easy.
While PBKS have been a revelation in IPL 2025, the pressure of the playoffs has historically affected them. Their top order looks solid, but their middle order is still vulnerable when quick wickets fall. MI, on the other hand, have the experience, form, and big-match temperament to go all the way.
With players like Suryakumar Yadav and Jasprit Bumrah in red-hot form, MI are better suited to handle the pressure of a knockout game and are favourites to win Qualifier 2 and march into the IPL 2025 final.
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